Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the USL League One brings Richmond Kickers against Sarasota Paradise at City Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Richmond Kickers are 17th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Richmond Kickers, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Portland Hearts of Pine, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Corpus Christi, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarasota Paradise, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Richmond Kickers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Richmond Kickers 1.4 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Richmond Kickers 32%, draw 24%, Sarasota Paradise 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richmond Kickers 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Richmond Kickers32%fair 3.10 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.35
Sarasota Paradise44%fair 2.27 · @2.38
3.04Expected goals
1.35Richmond Kickers xG
1.69Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.4 – 1.7 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarasota Paradise to win✗
44%
2.27
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Sarasota Paradise (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Richmond Kickers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Sarasota Paradise to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Richmond Kickers – last 6
LLLLLD
25 Jun
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–5
L
21 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
0–1
L
11 Jun
@ Boise
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Loudoun United
0–2
L
31 May
vs Boise
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LWLWWW
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Union Omaha
2–0
W
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
31 May
vs NY Cosmos
2–1
W
28 May
@ Boise
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise.
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarasota Paradise 44%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?
Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
