Value bet: Sarasota Paradise to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGreenville Triumph to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.42
Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 9 July: Greenville Triumph v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Paladin Stadium. In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Greenville Triumph, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over NY Cosmos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Richmond Kickers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.4 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 39%, draw 24%, Sarasota Paradise 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Sarasota Paradise to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greenville Triumph39%fair 2.55 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
Sarasota Paradise37%fair 2.73 · @3.25
2.92Expected goals
1.40Greenville Triumph xG
1.52Sarasota Paradise xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.4 – 1.5 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Greenville Triumph to win✗
39%
2.55
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Greenville Triumph (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Sarasota Paradise to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Greenville Triumph – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Jul
@ NY Cosmos
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Alta
1–2
L
15 Jun
@ Westchester SC
0–4
L
11 Jun
vs Loudoun United
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Forward Madison
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
DLWLWW
4 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Union Omaha
2–0
W
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
31 May
vs NY Cosmos
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarasota Paradise 37%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
