NY Cosmos 36%Draw 24%Naples 40%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.55
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaples to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
NY Cosmos vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naples travel to face NY Cosmos on Thursday 9 July in the USL League One, with Hinchliffe Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, NY Cosmos are 16th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NY Cosmos, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Greenville Triumph, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Naples, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Portland Hearts of Pine, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NY Cosmos 1.5 xG, Naples 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NY Cosmos 36%, draw 24%, Naples 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: NY Cosmos 1–1 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NY Cosmos36%fair 2.81 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.55
Naples40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
3.02Expected goals
1.48NY Cosmos xG
1.55Naples xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.5 – 1.5 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Naples (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
NY Cosmos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Naples to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naples / FT Naples✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
NY Cosmos – last 6
LLLLLL
5 Jul
vs Greenville Triumph
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ One Knoxville
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Hartford Athletic
1–4
L
31 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
LLLLLL
4 Jul
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–3
L
21 Jun
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
3–4
L
7 Jun
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–2
L
4 Jun
vs Charlotte Independence
1–5
L
31 May
@ Union Omaha
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NY Cosmos and Naples.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Naples?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naples 40%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Naples?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Naples?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Naples?
NY Cosmos vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
