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Charlotte Independence v Chattanooga Red Wolves: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · American Legion Memorial Stadium
Charlotte Independence 53%Draw 22%Chattanooga Red Wolves 24% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.23
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Charlotte Independence v Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One, played at American Legion Memorial Stadium. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Chattanooga Red Wolves are 7th (upper half) with 47. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Charlotte Independence, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Charleston Battery, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Chattanooga Red Wolves, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–3 Charlotte Independence.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.0 xG, Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 53%, draw 22%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlotte Independence53%fair 1.87 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Chattanooga Red Wolves24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
3.21Expected goals
1.98Charlotte Independence xG
1.23Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.0 – 1.2 Chattanooga Red Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharlotte Independence to win ✗53%1.871.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betCharlotte Independence (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapChattanooga Red Wolves +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.631.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreCharlotte Independence to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultCharlotte Independence ahead at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Charlotte Independence – last 6

DDWWWW
12 Jul@ Charleston Battery2–2D
6 Jul@ Alta1–1D
1 Julvs Corpus Christi2–1W
25 Junvs Greenville Triumph1–0W
14 Junvs Naples4–3W
11 Junvs Union Omaha2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chattanooga Red Wolves – last 6

WLLWWW
16 Julvs Alta1–0W
12 Jul@ San Antonio0–2L
5 Jul@ Corpus Christi1–2L
2 Julvs Westchester SC2–0W
21 Junvs Naples1–0W
13 Jun@ Portland Hearts of Pine2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves v Charlotte Independence2–3
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%.

How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.