Fort Wayne 55%Draw 24%Greenville Triumph 21%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.99
79%
Betarazi pick
Fort Wayne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fort Wayne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFort Wayne to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceFort Wayne or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Fort Wayne v Greenville Triumph in the USL League One, played at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium. In the table, Fort Wayne are 9th, upper half, on 45 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fort Wayne, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to One Knoxville, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Richmond Kickers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fort Wayne, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fort Wayne 1.8 xG, Greenville Triumph 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fort Wayne 55%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 21%.
Lower-risk option: Fort Wayne or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Fort Wayne to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fort Wayne or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fort Wayne 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fort Wayne55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Greenville Triumph21%fair 4.66 · @3.45
2.76Expected goals
1.76Fort Wayne xG
0.99Greenville Triumph xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Fort Wayne 1.8 – 1.0 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fort Wayne to win✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Fort Wayne or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Fort Wayne (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Greenville Triumph +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Fort Wayne to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fort Wayne / FT Fort Wayne✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Fort Wayne – last 6
LLWWDD
15 Jul
@ One Knoxville
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Detroit City
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
3–0
W
21 Jun
@ Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
18 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
LDWLLL
12 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
9 Jul
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ NY Cosmos
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Alta
1–2
L
15 Jun
@ Westchester SC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fort Wayne and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Fort Wayne or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Fort Wayne have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Greenville Triumph 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Fort Wayne 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
