Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Richmond Kickers travel to face Charlotte Independence on Sunday 26 July in the USL League One, with American Legion Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Richmond Kickers are 17th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Spokane Velocity, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Richmond Kickers, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spokane Velocity, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Richmond Kickers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.6 xG, Richmond Kickers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 69%, draw 17%, Richmond Kickers 14%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Richmond Kickers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence69%fair 1.44 · @1.35
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @5.00
Richmond Kickers14%fair 7.11 · @6.40
3.71Expected goals
2.63Charlotte Independence xG
1.08Richmond Kickers xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.6 – 1.1 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte Independence -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Charlotte Independence – last 6
LLDDWW
23 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–4
L
12 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
2–2
D
6 Jul
@ Alta
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Corpus Christi
2–1
W
25 Jun
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Richmond Kickers – last 6
LLWDLL
19 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Forward Madison
0–4
L
12 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–0
D
25 Jun
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–5
L
21 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Richmond Kickers.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Richmond Kickers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
