Forward Madison vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Forward Madison v Naples in the USL League One, played at Breese Stevens Field. In the table, Forward Madison are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46.
Current form
Forward Madison, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Richmond Kickers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Naples, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.0 for Naples.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Naples 0–1 Forward Madison.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forward Madison 1.8 xG, Naples 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forward Madison 59%, draw 24%, Naples 17%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forward Madison 2–0 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forward Madison59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.75
Naples17%fair 5.84 · @4.75
2.70Expected goals
1.81Forward Madison xG
0.88Naples xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Forward Madison 1.8 – 0.9 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Naples?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Naples?
On our numbers Forward Madison have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naples 17%.
How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Naples?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Forward Madison 2–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Forward Madison vs Naples?
Forward Madison vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
