Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Naples to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNaples to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Greenville Triumph vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Greenville Triumph welcome Naples to Paladin Stadium for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spokane Velocity, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Naples, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Union Omaha, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Naples, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Greenville Triumph.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Naples 1–0 Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.4 xG, Naples 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 39%, draw 22%, Naples 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Naples to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greenville Triumph39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Naples39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.79Expected goals
1.39Greenville Triumph xG
1.40Naples xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.4 – 1.4 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naples 39%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Greenville Triumph vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
