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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Richmond Kickers v Forward Madison: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · City Stadium
1–2
FT
Richmond Kickers 21%Draw 23%Forward Madison 57% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.89
79%
Betarazi pick

Forward Madison or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultForward Madison to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.09

Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Richmond Kickers welcome Forward Madison to City Stadium for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Richmond Kickers are 17th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Richmond Kickers, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portland Hearts of Pine, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Forward Madison, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Charlotte Independence, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Richmond Kickers.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Forward Madison 4–0 Richmond Kickers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Richmond Kickers 1.1 xG, Forward Madison 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Richmond Kickers 21%, draw 23%, Forward Madison 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Forward Madison or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Forward Madison to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Forward Madison or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richmond Kickers 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Richmond Kickers21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Forward Madison57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
2.95Expected goals
1.06Richmond Kickers xG
1.89Forward Madison xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.1 – 1.9 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultForward Madison to win ✓57%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.53
Draw no betForward Madison (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapRichmond Kickers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreForward Madison to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultForward Madison ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison ✓36%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.09–

Recent results

Richmond Kickers – last 6

DLWWLL
23 Augvs Portland Hearts of Pine1–1D
17 Aug@ Union Omaha1–5L
6 Augvs NY Cosmos2–0W
2 Augvs Alta3–2W
26 Jul@ Charlotte Independence1–3L
19 Julvs Spokane Velocity0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Forward Madison – last 6

DWDLWW
23 Augvs Charlotte Independence1–1D
16 Aug@ Portland Hearts of Pine2–1W
13 Augvs Greenville Triumph1–1D
9 Aug@ Boise1–2L
2 Augvs Westchester SC2–0W
30 Julvs Chattanooga Red Wolves5–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jul 2026Forward Madison v Richmond Kickers4–0
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Our pick is Forward Madison or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Forward Madison 57%.

How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.