Charlotte Independence 65%Draw 14%Fort Wayne 22%Expected goals 2.17 – 1.12
65%
Betarazi pick
Charlotte Independence to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the USL League One brings Charlotte Independence against Fort Wayne at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Fort Wayne are 9th (upper half) with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Richmond Kickers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Fort Wayne, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Naples, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Fort Wayne 2–2 Charlotte Independence.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.2 xG, Fort Wayne 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 65%, draw 14%, Fort Wayne 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Charlotte Independence to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Fort Wayne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw14%fair 7.38 · @3.90
Fort Wayne22%fair 4.59 · @3.70
3.29Expected goals
2.17Charlotte Independence xG
1.12Fort Wayne xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.2 – 1.1 Fort Wayne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte Independence -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Fort Wayne 22%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Fort Wayne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
