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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boise v Greenville Triumph: numbers & prediction

Boise

LDDWW
1–0
FT
Boise 63%Draw 18%Greenville Triumph 19% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.98
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoise to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Boise vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boise welcome Greenville Triumph for a USL League One fixture on Saturday 3 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Boise are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Boise, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Corpus Christi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Greenville Triumph, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Union Omaha, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Boise, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Greenville Triumph.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Jul 2026) it ended Greenville Triumph 3–2 Boise.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boise 2.0 xG, Greenville Triumph 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boise 63%, draw 18%, Greenville Triumph 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boise 2–1 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boise63%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.40
Greenville Triumph19%fair 5.26 · @5.00
2.98Expected goals
2.00Boise xG
0.98Greenville Triumph xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Boise 2.0 – 1.0 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoise to win ✓63%1.601.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.55
Draw no betBoise (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapBoise -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreBoise to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultBoise ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boise / FT Boise ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Boise – last 6

LDDWWW
27 Sep@ Corpus Christi1–2L
21 Sep@ Spokane Velocity2–2D
17 Sepvs Charlotte Independence1–1D
12 Sepvs NY Cosmos2–1W
6 Sep@ Naples2–0W
30 Aug@ Chattanooga Red Wolves3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Greenville Triumph – last 6

LLLLLW
27 Sepvs Union Omaha1–3L
20 Sep@ Sarasota Paradise0–6L
16 Sepvs Corpus Christi0–1L
13 Sepvs Fort Wayne1–3L
6 Sep@ Chattanooga Red Wolves1–3L
30 Augvs Naples4–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Jul 2026Greenville Triumph v Boise3–2
Boise vs Greenville Triumph head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boise vs Greenville Triumph?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Boise vs Greenville Triumph?

On our numbers Boise have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Greenville Triumph 19%.

How many goals will there be in Boise vs Greenville Triumph?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boise vs Greenville Triumph?

Our predicted score is Boise 2–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Boise vs Greenville Triumph?

Boise vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.