Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Richmond Kickers v One Knoxville in the USL League One, played at City Stadium. In the table, Richmond Kickers are 17th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; One Knoxville are 6th (upper half) with 54. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Richmond Kickers, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to NY Cosmos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
One Knoxville, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Westchester SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours One Knoxville, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Richmond Kickers.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended One Knoxville 1–0 Richmond Kickers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Richmond Kickers 0.9 xG, One Knoxville 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Richmond Kickers 15%, draw 20%, One Knoxville 65%.
Lower-risk option: One Knoxville or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: One Knoxville to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was One Knoxville or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richmond Kickers 0–2 One Knoxville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Richmond Kickers15%fair 6.56 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.75
One Knoxville65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
2.87Expected goals
0.85Richmond Kickers xG
2.02One Knoxville xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 0.9 – 2.0 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is One Knoxville or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and One Knoxville 65%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 0–2 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
