Fort Wayne 59%Draw 22%Sarasota Paradise 19%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.97
81%
Betarazi pick
Fort Wayne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fort Wayne to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFort Wayne to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceFort Wayne or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Fort Wayne v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium. In the table, Fort Wayne are 9th, upper half, on 45 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Fort Wayne, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union Omaha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Richmond Kickers, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 2–2 Fort Wayne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fort Wayne 1.9 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fort Wayne 59%, draw 22%, Sarasota Paradise 19%.
Lower-risk option: Fort Wayne or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Fort Wayne to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fort Wayne or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fort Wayne 1–0 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fort Wayne59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Sarasota Paradise19%fair 5.40 · @3.50
2.88Expected goals
1.91Fort Wayne xG
0.97Sarasota Paradise xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fort Wayne 1.9 – 1.0 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Fort Wayne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Fort Wayne have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarasota Paradise 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Fort Wayne 1–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise?
Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
