Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Greenville Triumph v Charlotte Independence in the USL League One, played at Paladin Stadium. In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Greenville Triumph, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Spokane Velocity, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over NY Cosmos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Greenville Triumph.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Charlotte Independence 1–0 Greenville Triumph. The last 2 head-to-heads: Greenville Triumph 0 wins, Charlotte Independence 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.6 xG, Charlotte Independence 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 35%, draw 22%, Charlotte Independence 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greenville Triumph35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
Charlotte Independence43%fair 2.30 · @2.40
3.42Expected goals
1.61Greenville Triumph xG
1.81Charlotte Independence xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.6 – 1.8 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
43%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlotte Independence 43%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
