Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the USL League One brings Portland Hearts of Pine against Charlotte Independence at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th, lower half, on 34 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Forward Madison, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Greenville Triumph, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Charlotte Independence 3–2 Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Hearts of Pine 1.3 xG, Charlotte Independence 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Hearts of Pine 25%, draw 16%, Charlotte Independence 59%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Hearts of Pine25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.60
Charlotte Independence59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
3.48Expected goals
1.32Portland Hearts of Pine xG
2.16Charlotte Independence xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.3 – 2.2 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Portland Hearts of Pine +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Charlotte Independence 59%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
