Richmond Kickers v Greenville Triumph Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRichmond Kickers to win ✗45% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Richmond Kickers v Greenville Triumph in the USL League One, played at City Stadium. In the table, Richmond Kickers are 17th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Richmond Kickers, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Corpus Christi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Greenville Triumph, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Charlotte Independence, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Greenville Triumph 1–2 Richmond Kickers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Richmond Kickers 2 wins, Greenville Triumph 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Richmond Kickers 1.7 xG, Greenville Triumph 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Richmond Kickers 45%, draw 21%, Greenville Triumph 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richmond Kickers 1–1 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Richmond Kickers45%fair 2.22 · @2.20

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40

Greenville Triumph34%fair 2.95 · @2.62

3.18Expected goals

1.72Richmond Kickers xG

1.46Greenville Triumph xG

63%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–28%

1–07%

2–27%

2–06%

From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.7 – 1.5 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Richmond Kickers to win ✗	45%	2.22	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.44
Draw no bet	Richmond Kickers (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	Richmond Kickers to score first ✗	52%	1.93	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.62	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Richmond Kickers / FT Richmond Kickers ✗	27%	3.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.13	–

Richmond Kickers – last 6

WLLWLL

17 Oct	vs Corpus Christi	5–1	W
11 Oct	@ Sarasota Paradise	2–3	L
8 Oct	@ Naples	0–2	L
3 Oct	vs One Knoxville	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ NY Cosmos	2–3	L
19 Sep	vs Charlotte Independence	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Greenville Triumph – last 6

LWDLLL

18 Oct	vs Charlotte Independence	0–3	L
15 Oct	vs Spokane Velocity	4–3	W
11 Oct	@ Alta	2–2	D
3 Oct	@ Boise	0–1	L
27 Sep	vs Union Omaha	1–3	L
20 Sep	@ Sarasota Paradise	0–6	L

1.2Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	-28	26

Team

Pts

Charlotte Independence

+28

+20

+10

+24

+16

Chattanooga Red Wolves

-7

-2

-15

-8

Portland Hearts of Pine

-10

Greenville Triumph

-23

NY Cosmos

-26

Richmond Kickers

-28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greenville Triumph 34%.

How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 1–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Richmond Kickers v Greenville Triumph: numbers & prediction