Value bet: AIK Stockholm to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAIK Stockholm to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Degerfors IF welcome AIK Stockholm to Stora Valla for a Allsvenskan fixture on Thursday 23 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Degerfors IF are 14th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 28 matches; AIK Stockholm are 8th (upper half) with 41. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Degerfors IF, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to IF Elfsborg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
AIK Stockholm, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kalmar FF, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AIK Stockholm, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Degerfors IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Degerfors IF 1.3 xG, AIK Stockholm 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Degerfors IF 31%, draw 25%, AIK Stockholm 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: AIK Stockholm to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Degerfors IF 1–1 AIK Stockholm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Degerfors IF31%fair 3.17 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
AIK Stockholm44%fair 2.29 · @2.45
2.85Expected goals
1.29Degerfors IF xG
1.57AIK Stockholm xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.3 – 1.6 AIK Stockholm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AIK Stockholm to win✗
44%
2.29
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
AIK Stockholm (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Degerfors IF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
AIK Stockholm to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AIK Stockholm / FT AIK Stockholm✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Degerfors IF – last 6
LWWLLW
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs IFK Norrkoping
3–1
W
14 Mar
vs United Nordic
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ IFK Goteborg
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AIK Stockholm – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Apr
vs Kalmar FF
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs BK Hacken
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Oddevold
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Vasteras SK FK
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and AIK Stockholm.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AIK Stockholm 44%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 AIK Stockholm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
