Malmo FF vs Sirius: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malmo FF welcome Sirius to Eleda Stadium for a Allsvenskan fixture on Thursday 23 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Sirius are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malmo FF, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orgryte IS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sirius, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hammarby FF, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 1.5 xG, Sirius 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 43%, draw 25%, Sirius 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 1–1 Sirius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmo FF43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Sirius33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
2.73Expected goals
1.49Malmo FF xG
1.24Sirius xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 1.5 – 1.2 Sirius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✗
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Malmo FF (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Sirius +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Malmo FF to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Malmo FF – last 5
DWWWW
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ IF Karlstad
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sirius – last 5
WDWWW
13 Apr
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ IF Elfsborg
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Helsingborg
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs GIF Sundsvall
6–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmo FF and Sirius.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Sirius?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sirius 33%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs Sirius?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs Sirius?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 1–1 Sirius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs Sirius?
Malmo FF vs Sirius (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
