AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Allsvenskan brings AIK Stockholm against Malmo FF at Strawberry Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, AIK Stockholm are 8th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AIK Stockholm, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Degerfors IF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Malmo FF, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sirius, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AIK Stockholm 1.4 xG, Malmo FF 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AIK Stockholm 37%, draw 25%, Malmo FF 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: AIK Stockholm 1–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AIK Stockholm37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Malmo FF38%fair 2.64 · @2.75
2.94Expected goals
1.44AIK Stockholm xG
1.50Malmo FF xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: AIK Stockholm 1.4 – 1.5 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✓
38%
2.64
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Malmo FF (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
AIK Stockholm +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
Malmo FF to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
AIK Stockholm – last 6
LWDWWW
23 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Kalmar FF
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs BK Hacken
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Oddevold
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
LDWWWW
23 Apr
vs Sirius
2–3
L
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ IF Karlstad
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AIK Stockholm and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers AIK Stockholm have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malmo FF 38%.
How many goals will there be in AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is AIK Stockholm 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF?
AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.