Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 27 April: Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan, played at Guldfageln Arena. In the table, Kalmar FF are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 28 matches; IF Elfsborg are 5th (upper half) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kalmar FF, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IFK Goteborg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
IF Elfsborg, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Djurgardens IF, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours IF Elfsborg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Kalmar FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalmar FF 1.1 xG, IF Elfsborg 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalmar FF 33%, draw 27%, IF Elfsborg 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: IF Elfsborg to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalmar FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalmar FF33%fair 3.04 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
IF Elfsborg40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
2.37Expected goals
1.08Kalmar FF xG
1.29IF Elfsborg xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kalmar FF 1.1 – 1.3 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✗
40%
2.51
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Draw no bet
IF Elfsborg (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Kalmar FF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
IF Elfsborg to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Kalmar FF – last 6
DLLLWD
23 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Djurgardens IF
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Vasteras SK FK
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Halmstad
4–0
W
7 Mar
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 6
WWWWLW
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sirius
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Helsingborg
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalmar FF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Kalmar FF have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and IF Elfsborg 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Kalmar FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Guldfageln Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
