Double chanceAlebrijes de Oaxaca or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alebrijes de Oaxaca welcome Dorados for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 28 February (00:00 WAT). In the table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Dorados are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.9 xG, Dorados 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alebrijes de Oaxaca 59%, draw 23%, Dorados 18%.
Lower-risk option: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 Dorados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alebrijes de Oaxaca59%fair 1.70 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.85
Dorados18%fair 5.45 · @5.10
2.95Expected goals
1.88Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
1.06Dorados xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.9 – 1.1 Dorados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Dorados
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-23%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+35%
Our expected goals here
1.94
1.26
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win✓
59%
1.70
1.63
Double chance
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Alebrijes de Oaxaca (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Dorados +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alebrijes de Oaxaca / FT Alebrijes de Oaxaca✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atlante FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dorados – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Monarcas
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Irapuato
0–5
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Dorados.
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dorados 18%.
How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 Dorados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
