Mineros de Zacatecas 52%Draw 22%Venados FC 25%Expected goals 1.98 – 1.47
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✓52% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Mineros de Zacatecas v Venados FC in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. In the table, Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Zacatecas 2.0 xG, Venados FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Zacatecas 52%, draw 22%, Venados FC 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Zacatecas52%fair 1.91 · @1.69
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.95
Venados FC25%fair 3.94 · @4.40
3.45Expected goals
1.98Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.47Venados FC xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 2.0 – 1.5 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mineros de Zacatecas
Venados FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-2%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.59
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✓
52%
1.91
1.69
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Mineros de Zacatecas (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Venados FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Mineros de Zacatecas to score first✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Mineros de Zacatecas ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✓
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Cancún
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Monarcas
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Venados FC 25%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
