CA La Paz 54%Draw 22%Tlaxcala 25%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.21
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: CA La Paz to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Liga De Expansión MX brings CA La Paz against Tlaxcala at Estadio Guaycura. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Tlaxcala are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.1 xG, Tlaxcala 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 54%, draw 22%, Tlaxcala 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: CA La Paz to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA La Paz54%fair 1.87 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.65
Tlaxcala25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
3.27Expected goals
2.06CA La Paz xG
1.21Tlaxcala xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.1 – 1.2 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+32%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-0%
Our expected goals here
2.44
1.21
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
54%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
CA La Paz (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Tlaxcala +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
First team to score
CA La Paz to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
CA La Paz ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
CA La Paz – last 2
WL
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tlaxcala – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Tlaxcala.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tlaxcala 25%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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