Irapuato 58%Draw 23%Alebrijes de Oaxaca 19%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.98
81%
Betarazi pick
Irapuato or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultIrapuato to win ✓58% · @1.81
Double chanceIrapuato or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Irapuato welcome Alebrijes de Oaxaca for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 8 March (02:00 WAT).
Current form
Irapuato, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Atlante FC, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dorados, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Irapuato 2.0 xG, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Irapuato 58%, draw 23%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 19%.
Lower-risk option: Irapuato or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Irapuato or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irapuato 1–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Irapuato58%fair 1.73 · @1.81
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.65
Alebrijes de Oaxaca19%fair 5.14 · @4.10
2.93Expected goals
1.95Irapuato xG
0.98Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Irapuato 2.0 – 1.0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Irapuato
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+6%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.15
0.99
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
58%
1.73
1.81
Double chance
Irapuato or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Irapuato (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Alebrijes de Oaxaca +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Irapuato to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Irapuato ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Irapuato – last 3
LLW
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Dorados
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 3
WLD
28 Feb
vs Dorados
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atlante FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Irapuato or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 19%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 1–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlante FC2