Cancún 45%Draw 24%CA La Paz 31%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.30
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Cancún vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CA La Paz travel to face Cancún on Sunday 15 March in the Liga De Expansión MX – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Cancún are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Cancún, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tapatío, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
CA La Paz, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tlaxcala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 1.7 xG, CA La Paz 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 45%, draw 24%, CA La Paz 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
CA La Paz31%fair 3.26 · @2.88
2.98Expected goals
1.68Cancún xG
1.30CA La Paz xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.7 – 1.3 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cancún
CA La Paz
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+11%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.76
1.30
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Cancún (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
CA La Paz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Cancún to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Cancún – last 3
WLW
7 Mar
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Cancún vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Cancún have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CA La Paz 31%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs CA La Paz?
Cancún vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
