Monarcas vs Irapuato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Irapuato travel to face Monarcas on Sunday 29 March in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Morelos the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Monarcas, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tapatío, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Irapuato, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cancún, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Monarcas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Irapuato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 1.8 xG, Irapuato 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 52%, draw 23%, Irapuato 25%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 1–1 Irapuato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monarcas52%fair 1.93 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.55
Irapuato25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
2.91Expected goals
1.80Monarcas xG
1.11Irapuato xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Monarcas 1.8 – 1.1 Irapuato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monarcas
Irapuato
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-0%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.94
1.10
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✓
52%
1.93
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Monarcas (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Irapuato +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Monarcas to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Monarcas – last 6
LWLWWW
23 Mar
@ Tapatío
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Atlante FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Dorados
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irapuato – last 6
DLWLLW
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Dorados
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Irapuato.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monarcas vs Irapuato?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Irapuato 25%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Irapuato?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Irapuato?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–1 Irapuato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Irapuato?
Monarcas vs Irapuato (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
