Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CDS Tampico Madero travel to face Alebrijes de Oaxaca on Saturday 11 April in the Liga De Expansión MX – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tepatitlán, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Venados FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.3 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alebrijes de Oaxaca 36%, draw 27%, CDS Tampico Madero 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alebrijes de Oaxaca36%fair 2.78 · @2.92
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
CDS Tampico Madero37%fair 2.67 · @2.38
2.50Expected goals
1.31Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
1.18CDS Tampico Madero xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.3 – 1.2 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-23%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.03
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CDS Tampico Madero to win✓
37%
2.67
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
CDS Tampico Madero (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
CDS Tampico Madero +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alebrijes de Oaxaca / FT Alebrijes de Oaxaca✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.20
–
Recent results
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6
LDLWLW
4 Apr
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–4
L
14 Mar
vs Tapatío
4–3
W
8 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–6
L
28 Feb
vs Dorados
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
DDDWLW
6 Apr
vs Venados FC
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ CA La Paz
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CDS Tampico Madero 37%.
How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
