Atlante FC 59%Draw 21%CA La Paz 20%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.21
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlante FC to win ✗59% · @1.32
Double chanceAtlante FC or draw ✓80% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Atlante FC vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Saturday 18 April: Atlante FC v CA La Paz in the Liga De Expansión MX.
Current form
Atlante FC, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cancún, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
CA La Paz, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tepatitlán, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlante FC 1.9 xG, CA La Paz 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlante FC 59%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlante FC 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlante FC59%fair 1.68 · @1.32
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @5.40
CA La Paz20%fair 5.07 · @7.90
3.09Expected goals
1.88Atlante FC xG
1.21CA La Paz xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 1.9 – 1.2 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlante FC
CA La Paz
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+2%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.62
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
59%
1.68
1.32
Double chance
Atlante FC or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlante FC (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
CA La Paz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
Atlante FC to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Atlante FC ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Atlante FC – last 6
LWLWDW
12 Apr
@ Cancún
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 6
DLDWDW
11 Apr
vs Tepatitlán
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Irapuato
1–3
L
28 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cancún
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlante FC and CA La Paz.
What is the prediction for Atlante FC vs CA La Paz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlante FC vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CA La Paz 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs CA La Paz?
Atlante FC vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
