Double chanceCorrecaminos Uat or draw ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Correcaminos Uat welcome Alebrijes de Oaxaca for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 18 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Correcaminos Uat are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Correcaminos Uat, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mineros de Zacatecas, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CDS Tampico Madero, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Correcaminos Uat 1.8 xG, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Correcaminos Uat 54%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 22%.
Lower-risk option: Correcaminos Uat or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Correcaminos Uat54%fair 1.85 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Alebrijes de Oaxaca22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
2.84Expected goals
1.78Correcaminos Uat xG
1.06Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.8 – 1.1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Correcaminos Uat
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-19%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.65
0.99
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Correcaminos Uat to win✗
54%
1.85
1.81
Double chance
Correcaminos Uat or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Correcaminos Uat (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Alebrijes de Oaxaca +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Correcaminos Uat to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Correcaminos Uat / FT Correcaminos Uat✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LLLLWW
13 Apr
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–3
L
4 Apr
vs Cancún
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Dorados
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6
LLDLWL
11 Apr
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–4
L
14 Mar
vs Tapatío
4–3
W
8 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–6
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Correcaminos Uat and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 22%.
How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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