Tlaxcala 57%Draw 23%Venados FC 20%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.27
80%
Betarazi pick
Tlaxcala or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTlaxcala to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceTlaxcala or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Tlaxcala vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tlaxcala welcome Venados FC to Estadio Tlahuicole for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 19 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Tlaxcala are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tlaxcala, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Monarcas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Venados FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leones Negros UDG, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tlaxcala 2.1 xG, Venados FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tlaxcala 57%, draw 23%, Venados FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Tlaxcala or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tlaxcala or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tlaxcala 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tlaxcala57%fair 1.75 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.95
Venados FC20%fair 4.99 · @4.20
3.35Expected goals
2.08Tlaxcala xG
1.27Venados FC xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 2.1 – 1.3 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tlaxcala
Venados FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+16%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.17
1.46
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tlaxcala to win✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Double chance
Tlaxcala or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Tlaxcala (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Venados FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Tlaxcala to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Tlaxcala ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tlaxcala / FT Tlaxcala✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Tlaxcala – last 6
DLWDDL
12 Apr
@ Monarcas
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Tapatío
0–3
L
4 Apr
vs Dorados
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
WDWLLL
12 Apr
vs Leones Negros UDG
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Atlante FC
4–1
W
21 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tlaxcala and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Tlaxcala or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venados FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Tlaxcala vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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