Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Luzern to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Super League brings FC Luzern against FC Basel 1893 at Swissporarena. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, FC Luzern are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; FC Basel 1893 are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Luzern 1.8 xG, FC Basel 1893 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Luzern 41%, draw 23%, FC Basel 1893 36%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Luzern 2–1 FC Basel 1893. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Luzern41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
FC Basel 189336%fair 2.82 · @2.55
3.36Expected goals
1.81FC Luzern xG
1.55FC Basel 1893 xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Luzern 1.8 – 1.6 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Luzern to win✓
41%
2.43
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Draw no bet
FC Luzern (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
FC Basel 1893 +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
FC Luzern to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Luzern / FT FC Luzern✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
FC Luzern
No recent results on record.
FC Basel 1893 – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Lugano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Luzern and FC Basel 1893.
What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?
On our numbers FC Luzern have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Basel 1893 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?
Our predicted score is FC Luzern 2–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?
FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Swissporarena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
