Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Molde to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Molde vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Molde welcome Valerenga to Aker Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT). In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Molde, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lillestrom, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Valerenga, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Viking, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valerenga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Molde.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 2.3 xG, Valerenga 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 59%, draw 18%, Valerenga 23%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Molde to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 2–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @3.70
Valerenga23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
3.63Expected goals
2.28Molde xG
1.35Valerenga xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Molde 2.3 – 1.4 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Valerenga +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.22
First team to score
Molde to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Molde – last 3
LLD
6 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LDWWWW
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Stromsgodset
4–3
W
27 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Valerenga.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Molde vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Molde have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Valerenga 23%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Valerenga?
Molde vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
