Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBodoGlimt to win48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.40
Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Eliteserien brings Lillestrom against BodoGlimt. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; BodoGlimt are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tromso, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
BodoGlimt, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KFUM Oslo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BodoGlimt, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.2 xG, BodoGlimt 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 29%, draw 23%, BodoGlimt 48%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–1 BodoGlimt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.95
BodoGlimt48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
2.97Expected goals
1.21Lillestrom xG
1.76BodoGlimt xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.2 – 1.8 BodoGlimt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BodoGlimt to win
48%
2.07
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.50
1.36
Draw no bet
BodoGlimt (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.33
First team to score
BodoGlimt to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BodoGlimt / FT BodoGlimt
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Lillestrom – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Kongsvinger
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
BodoGlimt – last 6
DDWLWW
22 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
17 Mar
@ Sporting CP
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Sporting CP
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Molde
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and BodoGlimt.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and BodoGlimt 48%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 BodoGlimt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
