Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 2.85 – our chance 44% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRosenborg to win ✓44% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Rosenborg v Lillestrom in the Eliteserien, played at Lerkendal Stadion. In the table, Rosenborg are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rosenborg, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Viking, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lillestrom, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sarpsborg 08 FF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Rosenborg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rosenborg 1.7 xG, Lillestrom 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rosenborg 44%, draw 22%, Lillestrom 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Rosenborg to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosenborg 1–1 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rosenborg44%fair 2.29 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.55
Lillestrom34%fair 2.95 · @2.30
2.84Expected goals
1.71Rosenborg xG
1.14Lillestrom xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 1.7 – 1.1 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosenborg to win✓
44%
2.29
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Rosenborg (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Rosenborg to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosenborg / FT Rosenborg✓
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Rosenborg – last 6
LLLDLW
1 May
@ Viking
0–3
L
6 Apr
@ Tromso
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Valerenga
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Bryne
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Valerenga
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Start
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
WDWLWD
3 May
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4–0
W
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosenborg and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lillestrom 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
