Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Molde to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTromso to win46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.12
Tromso vs Molde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Molde travel to face Tromso on Sunday 10 May in the Eliteserien, with Alfheim the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Tromso are 6th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Molde are 5th (upper half) with 44.
Current form
Tromso, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Brann, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Molde, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BodoGlimt, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tromso, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.4 for Molde.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tromso 1.7 xG, Molde 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tromso 46%, draw 22%, Molde 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Molde to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tromso 1–1 Molde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tromso46%fair 2.16 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.60
Molde32%fair 3.15 · @3.75
3.39Expected goals
1.70Tromso xG
1.69Molde xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Tromso 1.7 – 1.7 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win
46%
2.16
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Tromso (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Molde +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.12
First team to score
Tromso to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Tromso – last 6
LWDWWW
29 Apr
vs Brann
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Rosenborg
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Brann
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Fredrikstad
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Molde – last 5
WWLLD
4 May
@ BodoGlimt
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Valerenga
5–1
W
6 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Molde.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tromso vs Molde?
On our numbers Tromso have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Molde 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Molde?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Tromso 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Molde?
Tromso vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
