Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Molde vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Eliteserien brings Molde against Fredrikstad at Aker Stadion. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Molde are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Molde, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Start, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Fredrikstad, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Viking, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Molde, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Fredrikstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 2.1 xG, Fredrikstad 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 62%, draw 17%, Fredrikstad 21%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 2–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @4.60
Fredrikstad21%fair 4.84 · @5.50
3.28Expected goals
2.15Molde xG
1.13Fredrikstad xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Molde 2.1 – 1.1 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Molde -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
First team to score
Molde to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Molde – last 6
WDWLWW
18 Oct
vs Start
6–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ TryggLade
5–0
W
13 Sep
@ Ham-Kam
5–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LDDWDL
17 Oct
@ Viking
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Tromso
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Valerenga
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Stjørdals-Blink
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Fredrikstad.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Molde have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fredrikstad 21%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Molde vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
