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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion
2–1
FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 56%Draw 19%Aalesund 25% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.28
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.37

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund in the Eliteserien, played at Sarpsborg Stadion. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rosenborg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Aalesund, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kristiansund BK, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Aalesund 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 xG, Aalesund 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 56%, draw 19%, Aalesund 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF56%fair 1.78 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.75
Aalesund25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
3.30Expected goals
2.02Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.28Aalesund xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 – 1.3 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓56%1.781.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.40
Draw no betSarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapAalesund +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreSarpsborg 08 FF to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultSarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.37–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

LWWLDD
18 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
11 Oct@ Aalesund4–2W
30 Sep@ Follo2–0W
18 Sepvs KFUM Oslo1–3L
13 Sep@ Fredrikstad1–1D
6 Sepvs Valerenga2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

WLWDLW
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
16 Sep@ Førde2–2D
13 Sep@ KFUM Oslo1–2L
4 Sepvs Start2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aalesund 25%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.