Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValerenga to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Valerenga v Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien, played at Intility Arena. In the table, Valerenga are 8th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Fredrikstad are 12th (lower half) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Valerenga, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Skeid, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Fredrikstad, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stjørdals-Blink, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Valerenga.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Valerenga 3–1 Fredrikstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 1.7 xG, Fredrikstad 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 43%, draw 21%, Fredrikstad 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Fredrikstad to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valerenga43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Fredrikstad36%fair 2.76 · @3.30
3.25Expected goals
1.70Valerenga xG
1.55Fredrikstad xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.7 – 1.5 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fredrikstad 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
