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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Viking v Lillestrom: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · SR-Bank Arena

Viking

WLDWW
3–0
FT
Viking 68%Draw 21%Lillestrom 11% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.85
68%
Betarazi pick

Viking to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultViking to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceViking or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Viking vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Eliteserien brings Viking against Lillestrom at SR-Bank Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Viking are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Viking, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 8–1 win over Kristiansund BK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Lillestrom, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Torreense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Lillestrom 1–2 Viking.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Viking 2.3 xG, Lillestrom 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Viking 68%, draw 21%, Lillestrom 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Viking to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Viking 2–0 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Viking68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @5.00
Lillestrom11%fair 9.27 · @6.00
3.13Expected goals
2.28Viking xG
0.85Lillestrom xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Viking 2.3 – 0.8 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultViking to win ✓68%1.471.40
Double chanceViking or draw ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.44
Draw no betViking (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapViking -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreViking to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultViking ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Viking / FT Viking ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Viking – last 6

WLDWWW
13 Sepvs Kristiansund BK8–1W
9 Sep@ VfB Stuttgart1–3L
4 Sep@ Sandefjord1–1D
2 Sep@ Brodd3–1W
30 Augvs Aalesund2–1W
26 Augvs Dinamo Zagreb3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lillestrom – last 6

LWWWLD
17 Sepvs Torreense1–2L
12 Sepvs Valerenga2–0W
5 Sep@ Brann2–1W
2 Sep@ Aurskog Finstadbru3–0W
30 Augvs Fredrikstad1–4L
27 Augvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Lillestrom v Viking1–2
Viking vs Lillestrom head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Viking vs Lillestrom?

Our pick is Viking to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Viking vs Lillestrom?

On our numbers Viking have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lillestrom 11%.

How many goals will there be in Viking vs Lillestrom?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Viking vs Lillestrom?

Our predicted score is Viking 2–0 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Viking vs Lillestrom?

Viking vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SR-Bank Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.