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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Briskeby Arena

Ham-Kam

DWLLW
3–0
FT
Ham-Kam 32%Draw 20%Sarpsborg 08 FF 48% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.74
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ham-Kam welcome Sarpsborg 08 FF to Briskeby Arena for a Eliteserien fixture on Sunday 8 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Ham-Kam are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ham-Kam, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with KFUM Oslo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Kristiansund BK, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sarpsborg 08 FF, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Ham-Kam.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Ham-Kam. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ham-Kam 0 wins, Sarpsborg 08 FF 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ham-Kam 1.4 xG, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ham-Kam 32%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ham-Kam 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ham-Kam32%fair 3.16 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF48%fair 2.07 · @2.15
3.10Expected goals
1.36Ham-Kam xG
1.74Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.4 – 1.7 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗48%2.072.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betSarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapHam-Kam +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
First team to scoreSarpsborg 08 FF to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✗28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Ham-Kam – last 6

DWLLWL
1 Nov@ KFUM Oslo2–2D
28 Oct@ Rosenborg2–1W
24 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
17 Octvs BodoGlimt0–2L
11 Oct@ Start4–2W
20 Sep@ Tromso2–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

LWWLWW
1 Novvs Kristiansund BK2–4L
28 Octvs Valerenga3–2W
25 Octvs Aalesund2–1W
18 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
11 Oct@ Aalesund4–2W
30 Sep@ Follo2–0W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam1–0
13 Feb 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam3–2
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 48%.

How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.