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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lillestrom v Aalesund: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway
3–2
FT
Lillestrom 60%Draw 20%Aalesund 19% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.25
81%
Betarazi pick

Lillestrom or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLillestrom to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Lillestrom vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Eliteserien brings Lillestrom against Aalesund. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lillestrom, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Plzen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Aalesund, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Sandefjord, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Aalesund.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Aalesund 1–3 Lillestrom.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 2.3 xG, Aalesund 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 60%, draw 20%, Aalesund 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lillestrom or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lillestrom or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lillestrom60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.50
Aalesund19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
3.55Expected goals
2.30Lillestrom xG
1.25Aalesund xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.3 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✓60%1.661.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.36
Draw no betLillestrom (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapLillestrom -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.981.91
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.40
First team to scoreLillestrom to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLillestrom ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Lillestrom – last 6

LWWWLW
5 Novvs Plzen0–1L
1 Nov@ Start1–0W
28 Octvs Sogndal2–1W
25 Octvs Brann3–2W
22 Octvs Real Sociedad0–6L
18 Oct@ Sandefjord2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Octvs Sandefjord3–4L
28 Oct@ Kristiansund BK2–0W
25 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aalesund v Lillestrom1–3
Lillestrom vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Lillestrom or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aalesund 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our predicted score is Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Lillestrom vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.