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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v KuPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Tammela Stadium
0–1
–

KuPS

LLLL
Ilves 48%Draw 26%KuPS 26% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.02
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.42

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win48% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.90

Ilves vs KuPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the Veikkausliiga brings Ilves against KuPS at Tammela Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; KuPS are 3rd with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ilves, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AC Oulu, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

KuPS, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lech Poznan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for KuPS.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended KuPS 0–1 Ilves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.5 xG, KuPS 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 48%, draw 26%, KuPS 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 KuPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves48%fair 2.11 · @2.16
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
KuPS26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.48Ilves xG
1.02KuPS xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.5 – 1.0 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win48%2.112.16
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.55
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapKuPS +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%1.981.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreIlves to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.90–

Recent results

Ilves – last 3

DWW
21 Febvs AC Oulu2–2D
18 Febvs SJK3–1W
14 Feb@ KuPS1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KuPS – last 4

LLLL
26 Feb@ Lech Poznan0–1L
22 Febvs FF Jaro3–4L
19 Febvs Lech Poznan0–2L
14 Febvs Ilves0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026KuPS v Ilves0–1
Ilves vs KuPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs KuPS?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Ilves vs KuPS?

On our numbers Ilves have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and KuPS 26%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs KuPS?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs KuPS?

Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs KuPS?

Ilves vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.