Mariehamn vs Turku PS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the Veikkausliiga brings Mariehamn against Turku PS at Wiklof Holding Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; Turku PS are 3rd with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Turku PS, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PK-35, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.5 xG, Turku PS 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 51%, draw 25%, Turku PS 24%.
Lower-risk option: Mariehamn or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 1–1 Turku PS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mariehamn51%fair 1.97 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.65
Turku PS24%fair 4.18 · @3.75
2.65Expected goals
1.52Mariehamn xG
1.13Turku PS xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.5 – 1.1 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mariehamn to win
51%
1.97
1.82
Double chance
Mariehamn or draw
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.53
Draw no bet
Mariehamn (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Turku PS +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Mariehamn to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mariehamn / FT Mariehamn
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Mariehamn – last 1
W
5 Mar
vs Lahti
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Turku PS – last 3
WLL
27 Mar
vs PK-35
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ HJK helsinki
1–3
L
14 Feb
vs Gnistan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mariehamn and Turku PS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Turku PS 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Mariehamn vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
