Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultSJK to win ✓57% · @1.65
Double chanceSJK or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
SJK vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 10 April: SJK v Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga, played at OmaSp Stadion. In the table, SJK are 4th on 27 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19.
Current form
SJK, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to HJK Helsinki, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SJK 1.8 xG, Mariehamn 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SJK 57%, draw 24%, Mariehamn 18%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SJK 1–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SJK57%fair 1.74 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.45
Mariehamn18%fair 5.47 · @5.20
2.79Expected goals
1.82SJK xG
0.97Mariehamn xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: SJK 1.8 – 1.0 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SJK to win✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Double chance
SJK or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
SJK (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
First team to score
SJK to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
SJK ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SJK / FT SJK✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
SJK – last 5
LLWLL
4 Apr
@ HJK Helsinki
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs FF Jaro
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs VPS
0–6
L
18 Feb
@ Ilves
1–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 1
W
5 Mar
vs Lahti
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SJK and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win SJK vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers SJK have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mariehamn 18%.
How many goals will there be in SJK vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SJK vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is SJK 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is SJK vs Mariehamn?
SJK vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at OmaSp Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
