Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVPS to win ✗52% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
VPS vs FF Jaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the Veikkausliiga brings VPS against FF Jaro at Lemonsoft Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, VPS are 6th on 40 points after 32 matches; FF Jaro are 5th with 21. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
VPS, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter Turku, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
FF Jaro, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to AC Oulu, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VPS 1.3 xG, FF Jaro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VPS 52%, draw 23%, FF Jaro 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: VPS 1–0 FF Jaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VPS52%fair 1.91 · @1.92
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
FF Jaro24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
2.10Expected goals
1.31VPS xG
0.79FF Jaro xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: VPS 1.3 – 0.8 FF Jaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VPS to win✗
52%
1.91
1.92
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.53
Draw no bet
VPS (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
FF Jaro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.48 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
VPS to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VPS / FT VPS✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
VPS – last 3
DLW
4 Apr
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ SJK
6–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FF Jaro – last 3
LLW
28 Mar
vs AC Oulu
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ SJK
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ KuPS
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VPS and FF Jaro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win VPS vs FF Jaro?
On our numbers VPS have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FF Jaro 24%.
How many goals will there be in VPS vs FF Jaro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VPS vs FF Jaro?
Our predicted score is VPS 1–0 FF Jaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is VPS vs FF Jaro?
VPS vs FF Jaro (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemonsoft Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.