On Tuesday 23 June the Veikkausliiga brings KuPS against Ilves at Vare Areena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, KuPS are 3rd on 53 points after 32 matches; Ilves are 2nd with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KuPS, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Turku PS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Ilves, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over FF Jaro, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for KuPS.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended KuPS 0–1 Ilves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.5 xG, Ilves 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 50%, draw 27%, Ilves 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS50%fair 2.01 · @1.60
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.90
Ilves24%fair 4.23 · @4.80
2.58Expected goals
1.45KuPS xG
1.13Ilves xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.5 – 1.1 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KuPS vs Ilves?
On our numbers KuPS have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ilves 24%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Ilves?
KuPS vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
