Mariehamn 13%Draw 19%HJK Helsinki 68%Expected goals 0.93 – 2.26
68%
Betarazi pick
HJK Helsinki to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 23 June the Veikkausliiga brings Mariehamn against HJK Helsinki at Wiklof Holding Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mariehamn, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AC Oulu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
HJK Helsinki, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Inter Turku, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 4.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours HJK Helsinki, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Mariehamn.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended HJK Helsinki 1–0 Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 0.9 xG, HJK Helsinki 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 13%, draw 19%, HJK Helsinki 68%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HJK Helsinki to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 0–2 HJK Helsinki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mariehamn13%fair 7.61 · @7.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
HJK Helsinki68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
3.19Expected goals
0.93Mariehamn xG
2.26HJK Helsinki xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 0.9 – 2.3 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Our pick is HJK Helsinki to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HJK Helsinki 68%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–2 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
