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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HJK Helsinki v KuPS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Bolt Arena
0–4
FT

KuPS

WWDDD
HJK Helsinki 48%Draw 23%KuPS 29% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.12
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: HJK Helsinki to win @ 2.22 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✗48% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

HJK Helsinki vs KuPS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Veikkausliiga brings HJK Helsinki against KuPS at Bolt Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, HJK Helsinki are 2nd on 59 points after 32 matches; KuPS are 3rd with 53.

Current form

HJK Helsinki, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Mariehamn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 5.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

KuPS, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Ilves, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HJK Helsinki, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for KuPS.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HJK Helsinki 1.8 xG, KuPS 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HJK Helsinki 48%, draw 23%, KuPS 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: HJK Helsinki to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: HJK Helsinki 1–1 KuPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HJK Helsinki48%fair 2.08 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
KuPS29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
2.90Expected goals
1.79HJK Helsinki xG
1.12KuPS xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 1.8 – 1.1 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHJK Helsinki to win ✗48%2.082.22 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.55
Draw no betHJK Helsinki (draw no bet) ✗63%1.60–
Asian handicapKuPS +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreHJK Helsinki to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki ✗33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

HJK Helsinki – last 6

WDWWWW
23 Jun@ Mariehamn4–0W
17 Junvs Inter Turku3–3D
13 Jun@ FF Jaro5–2W
9 Jun@ Honka7–1W
30 Mayvs Mariehamn1–0W
26 Mayvs MyPa11–1W
5.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

KuPS – last 6

WWDDDW
23 Junvs Ilves4–3W
17 Jun@ Turku PS2–1W
13 Jun@ VPS1–1D
10 Junvs VPS0–0D
30 Mayvs Inter Turku1–1D
26 May@ JäPS1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026KuPS v HJK Helsinki1–1
HJK Helsinki vs KuPS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KuPS 29%.

How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?

HJK Helsinki vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.