Value bet: Gnistan to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGnistan to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Gnistan vs VPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gnistan welcome VPS to Markku.fi Areena for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Saturday 27 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; VPS are 6th with 40.
Current form
Gnistan, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FF Jaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
VPS, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over AC Oulu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.6 xG, VPS 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 45%, draw 24%, VPS 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Gnistan to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 1–1 VPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gnistan45%fair 2.25 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.25
VPS31%fair 3.21 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.65Gnistan xG
1.21VPS xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.6 – 1.2 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gnistan to win✗
45%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Gnistan (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
VPS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Gnistan to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Gnistan – last 6
DWWWLW
23 Jun
@ FF Jaro
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Lahti
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Mariehamn
3–0
W
30 May
vs SJK
3–2
W
23 May
@ Ilves
0–2
L
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
VPS – last 6
WWDDLW
23 Jun
vs AC Oulu
5–1
W
17 Jun
@ SJK
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs KuPS
1–1
D
10 Jun
@ KuPS
0–0
D
30 May
@ Turku PS
0–1
L
26 May
vs Haka
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and VPS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gnistan vs VPS?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VPS 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs VPS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs VPS?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs VPS?
Gnistan vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
