Turku PS vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Turku PS welcome Mariehamn to Veritas Stadion for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Saturday 1 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Turku PS are 3rd on 32 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Turku PS, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HJK Helsinki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mariehamn, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AC Oulu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Turku PS, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Turku PS 1.6 xG, Mariehamn 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Turku PS 57%, draw 24%, Mariehamn 19%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turku PS 1–1 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Turku PS57%fair 1.75 · @1.52
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @4.10
Mariehamn19%fair 5.34 · @5.40
2.61Expected goals
1.63Turku PS xG
0.98Mariehamn xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Turku PS 1.6 – 1.0 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turku PS to win✓
57%
1.75
1.52
Double chance
Turku PS or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Draw no bet
Turku PS (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Mariehamn +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Turku PS to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turku PS / FT Turku PS✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Turku PS – last 6
LLWLWD
26 Jul
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
20 Jul
vs Ilves
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs AC Oulu
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ SJK
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs FF Jaro
3–2
W
23 Jun
@ Lahti
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
DLLLLL
25 Jul
vs AC Oulu
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Lahti
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gnistan
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ VPS
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Inter Turku
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs HJK Helsinki
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turku PS and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Turku PS have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mariehamn 19%.
How many goals will there be in Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Turku PS 1–1 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
Turku PS vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Veritas Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
